What are the scenarios of earthquakes and tsunamis in Vietnam occurring in some areas in the coming time?

On May 27, 2022, the Prime Minister issued Decision 645/QD-TTg in 2022. Attached to this Decision is the National Plan to response of earthquakes and tsunamis in Vietnam. According to the forecast, in the near future, there may be earthquakes and tsunamis in Vietnam in our country like?

What are the goals of implementing the national plan to respond to earthquakes and tsunamis in Vietnam?

According to Section I of the Plan issued together with the Prime Minister's Decision 645/QD-TTg in 2022, the goals are set in the implementation of the National Plan to respond to earthquakes and tsunamis in Vietnam.

- General objective:

Reasonable mobilization of resources, implementation of tasks and solutions to prevent and respond to earthquakes and tsunamis in order to minimize damage to people, property and the environment; contributing to the successful implementation of the National Strategy for Natural Disaster Prevention, Control and Mitigation by 2030, with a vision to 2050.

- Detail goal

+ Create unity in awareness and actions of agencies, organizations and people, ensure close coordination with central and local ministries, branches in organizing the implementation of solutions to respond to and overcome the consequences of the disaster. earthquake, tsunami.

+ Completing the system of national plans to respond to basic incidents, natural disasters and disasters, serving as a basis for localities to implement.

+ Improve capacity for monitoring, forecasting and warning of natural disasters; improve the efficiency of information, communication and dissemination of knowledge for the people, and train the forces to reduce damage in the event of earthquakes and tsunamis.

Thus, the goal of implementing the national earthquake and tsunami response plan is to mobilize resources to deploy tasks and solutions to prevent and respond to earthquakes and tsunamis in Vietnam, thereby reducing minimal damage to people and property. Moreover, the Plan was created to create a consensus on both awareness and actions of all people, agencies and organizations towards close coordination in earthquake disaster prevention. , tsunami.


Dự báo trong thời gian sắp tới, Việt Nam sẽ xảy ra tình trạng động đất, sóng thần?

What are the scenarios of earthquakes and tsunamis in Vietnam occurring in some areas in the coming time?

Earthquake forecasts?

According to subsection 1, section II of the plan promulgated together with Decision 645/QD-TTg in 2022 of the Prime Minister, the forecast of earthquakes that may occur in our country is made as follows:

- Northwest region: The earthquake scenario with magnitude M = 7.2 occurs on Son La fault at coordinates (Longitude 103.44, Latitude 21.64) causing disaster risk level 4 - 5 in some areas. areas of Dien Bien and Son La provinces; level 3 - 4 in some areas of Lai Chau, Yen Bai, Lao Cai and level 1 - 3 in Tuyen Quang, Ha Giang and Phu Tho provinces;

- Northeast region: The earthquake scenario with magnitude M=5.5 occurs on the Cao Bang - Tien Yen fault at coordinates (Longitude 106.54, Latitude 22.16), causing disaster risk level 4 - 5 in some areas of Lang Son province, grade 3 in some areas of Cao Bang and Bac Kan provinces and grade 1 in some areas of Thai Nguyen and Bac Giang provinces;

- Red River Delta: An earthquake scenario with magnitude M = 6.3 occurs on the Chay vertebral fault at coordinates (Longitude 106.07, Latitude 20.65) causing disaster risk level 4 - 5 at Ha Nam, Nam Dinh, Hung Yen, Thai Binh and Hanoi provinces. Level 1 - 2 in Bac Ninh, Ninh Binh, Hai Duong, Hai Phong and Vinh Phuc provinces;

- North Central region: The earthquake scenario with magnitude M = 6.5 occurs on the Ca river fault at coordinates (Longitude 105.583, Latitude 18,906, in Dien Chau district, Nghe An) causing a risk level. natural disaster risk level 4 - 5 in Nghe An province, level 3 - 4 in Ha Tinh province; level 1 - 3 in Thanh Hoa province and level 1 in Quang Binh, Quang Tri and Thua Thien Hue provinces;

- The South Central Coast and Central Highlands: An earthquake scenario with magnitude M = 5.8 occurs on the Ba To - Cung Son fault at coordinates (Longitude 108.74, Latitude 13.99) causing a disaster risk level. level 4 - 5 in some areas of Binh Dinh and Gia Lai provinces (epicenter) and level 1 for neighboring areas;

- Southern region: The maximum earthquake scenario M = 5.0 occurs on the Hau river fault at coordinates (Longitude 105.81, Latitude 10.04) causing disaster risk level 4 in some areas of the province. Vinh Long and Can Tho (epicenter); grade 1 - 2 in the vicinity of Vinh Long, Can Tho, Hau Giang, Tra Vinh and surrounding areas.


Forecast about the occurrence of tsunami in our country in the near future?

According to subsection 2, section II of the plan promulgated together with Decision 645/QD-TTg in 2022 of the Prime Minister has made the following forecasts on the tsunami situation in our country in the near future:

- Level 4 disaster risk (corresponding to wave height from 8 m to 16 m): coastal area of ​​Thua Thien Hue province, Da Nang city, Quang Nam province, Quang Ngai province, Phu Yen province, province Khanh Hoa and Binh Thuan province. Time for tsunami to propagate and strike ashore is from 2.0 hours to 4.5 hours, inland can be up to 2 - 3 km;

- Level 3 disaster risk (corresponding to wave height from 4m to 8m): Coastal area of ​​Hai Phong city, Nam Dinh province, Thanh Hoa province, Nghe An province, Ha Tinh province, Quang Binh province , Quang Tri province, Binh Dinh province, Ninh Thuan province, Ba Ria - Vung Tau province, Ben Tre province, Bac Lieu province and Ca Mau province. The time for the tsunami to propagate and strike ashore is from 3.0 hours to 9.0 hours inland, possibly up to hundreds of meters;

- Level 2 disaster risk (corresponding to wave height from 2 m to 4 m): Quang Ninh province, Thai Binh province, Ho Chi Minh city, Tra Vinh province and Soc Trang province. Time for tsunami to propagate and strike ashore is from 8.2 hours to 14.9 hours, inland can be hundreds of meters;

- Level 1 disaster risk (corresponding to wave height below 2 m): Ninh Binh province and Kien Giang province. The time for the tsunami to propagate and hit the shore is about 8 to 15 hours. The tsunami caused local flooding at some points.

Accordingly, along the coast of our country from the North to the South, there will be a possibility of tsunamis with risk levels from level 1 to level 4 depending on the location of each area. The wave can have a height ranging from about 2 meters to 16 meters.

Thus, all people, agencies and organizations need to seriously follow the instructions of the State and strictly abide by the plan issued together with this Decision to be ready to respond to natural disasters such as earthquakes, waves and waves God.

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