Plan for Ultra-Short-Term Weather Forecasting and Warning

21:49, 10/07/2024

The content is detailed in Circular 40/2016/TT-BTNMT, which stipulates the technical procedures for meteorological and hydrological forecasting and warning under normal conditions.

Circular 40/2016/TT-BTNMT stipulates the implementation of weather forecasting and warning methods for ultra-short-term and short-term periods as follows:

- The methods commonly used in weather forecasting and warning for ultra-short-term and short-term periods include:- Method based on synoptic analysis and experience;- Method based on statistical analysis;- Method based on dynamic meteorological modeling;- Method based on ensemble forecasting;- Method based on extrapolation, interpolation, and persistence;- Method based on other approaches (if any).- Weather forecasting and warning methods for ultra-short-term and short-term periods are utilized in the national meteorological and hydrological forecasting and warning system as stipulated by the National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasting.- Individuals engaged in forecasting and warning activities outside the national meteorological and hydrological forecasting and warning system shall independently stipulate the appropriate use of forecasting and warning methods.

More details can be found in Circular 40/2016/TT-BTNMT, which takes effect from February 10, 2017.

- Thanh Lam -

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